How Mr. Bets thinks.
Four steps. Same four every week. They're the only reason the math works long-term.
I lock down the card before you do.
The next UFC card, this week’s NFL slate, every line every book is offering — pulled fresh and shown to you before you even open a second tab. If a source is stale, I flag it. No silent bad data.
- Next UFC event auto-detected
- NFL week toggle for this-week / next-week
- Source-health indicators on every panel
I show you where the books got the price wrong.
Model probability, market-implied probability, edge — side by side, every fight, every game. The AI Pick is a recommendation; the math is right there so you can second-guess me whenever you like.
- Model odds vs implied odds, side by side
- Edge tag (green positive, red negative)
- Match Predictor for any one-off matchup
| Fight | AI Pick | Edge | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smith vs. Jones | Smith | +6.2% | −145 |
| Lopez vs. Carter | Carter | +3.8% | +120 |
| Park vs. Torres | Park | −1.1% | −180 |
I tell you how much to stake.
Bet Planner ranks legs by EV, builds singles or parlays, and sizes your stake against your bankroll. Quarter-Kelly with hard caps. Negative-EV legs get flagged before you commit. I will not let you bet rent.
- Conservative, Balanced, or Fun-ticket presets
- Bankroll-aware stake math, automatic
- Duplicate-bet detection against your tracker
Suggested stake (Kelly · 0.25)
$24.00
Bankroll
$1,200
I keep score — honestly, even when I miss.
Send the plan to the Bet Tracker, mark wins and losses as they settle, watch win-rate, ROI, and CLV update in real time. Tentative vs Confirmed P&L split so my taps never inflate your scoreboard.
- Pending vs settled separation
- AI picks vs your custom plays, segmented
- CSV export from the profile page
The contrast
Mr. Bets vs. the guys in your group chat.
A tipster hands you a wager. I hand you a workflow — and a track record that updates whether I want it to or not.
Mr. Bets
- Edge percent visible per fight
- Source-quality indicators
- Bankroll-aware stake sizes
- Free calculators, forever
- You keep the picks
Group-chat tipsters
- A single AI Pick, no math shown
- Hidden when data is stale
- Fixed-unit suggestions
- Paywalled basic tools
- Picks locked behind subscription
Mr. BetsI don't have a Telegram. I have a track record.
No card data stored on our servers — Stripe handles billing.
Cancel anytime from your profile.
Free calculators are public and unmetered.
The loop, your bankroll, your call
Run a card with Mr. Bets. $9.99. The first one's on him.
7-day trial covers a full UFC event and at least one NFL slate. Cancel before it ends and you owe him zero dollars.